The long-awaited European Football Championship has reached its final stage, with the final between Spain and England on 14 July.

If the bookmakers saw England not only in the final but also winning the whole tournament, Spain in the final could be considered a surprise result. However, with how the Spanish team looks in this tournament, it would not be a surprise if they were to win EURO 2024.

⚽ Match prediction: Spain -0.25 Asian handicap @ 1.95

Spain won five games in regular time and beat Germany at the end of the second extra time. It also won against Croatia, Italy, Albania, Georgia, and France.

Meanwhile, England came into the final with just two wins in regular time – a win in their first group match against Denmark and a victory over the Netherlands in the semi-final at the end of regular time. Despite reaching the final, England is not playing with any confidence.

Even if we look at the playoff path, they have played against Slovakia, Switzerland, and the Netherlands. Certainly not the teams that would maximise England’s potential, but it was difficult every match.

They were saved by the miracle against Slovakia, a solid series of penalties against Switzerland, and the winning goal against Netherlands was scored in added time. Although England is moving on, all the matches were tough.

Spain has had some straightforward games in the tournament and some difficult ones. They controlled all three games in the group stage, scoring five goals and conceding none. They started the eighth-finals by conceding first against Georgia.

Then we saw the spirit of this team – the score went from 0:1 to 4:1. In the semi-final against Germany, Spain was winning for a long time, conceding the equalising goal at the very end of the match, but still managed to hold on and not lose.

Again, against France, they conceded first but managed to change the score from 0:1 to 2:1 in less than 20 minutes.

Spain is playing more confidently in this tournament, which is reflected in the results. The last two European football championships have gone to extra time, while the three before that were decided in extra time.

In two of them, Spain won – 1-0 against Germany and 4-0 against Italy. Given the pattern of this tournament, Spain is the one to choose for the final. A win in regular time is the riskiest option to become champions at odds of 1.70, while a -0.25 Asian handicap seems to be the optimal choice.

This EURO 2024 prediction is for guidance only and we are not responsible for your bets.